feat(BT-001A): add backtest scenario runner page

This commit is contained in:
Bu5hm4nn
2026-03-24 19:00:22 +01:00
parent 8566cc203f
commit d2d85bccdb
6 changed files with 467 additions and 3 deletions

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@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
from . import hedge, options, overview, settings
from . import backtests, hedge, options, overview, settings
__all__ = ["overview", "hedge", "options", "settings"]
__all__ = ["overview", "hedge", "options", "backtests", "settings"]

186
app/pages/backtests.py Normal file
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@@ -0,0 +1,186 @@
from __future__ import annotations
from datetime import date, datetime
from nicegui import ui
from app.pages.common import dashboard_page
from app.services.backtesting.ui_service import BacktestPageRunResult, BacktestPageService
def _chart_options(result: BacktestPageRunResult) -> dict:
template_result = result.run_result.template_results[0]
return {
"tooltip": {"trigger": "axis"},
"legend": {"data": ["Spot", "LTV hedged", "LTV unhedged"]},
"xAxis": {"type": "category", "data": [point.date.isoformat() for point in template_result.daily_path]},
"yAxis": [
{"type": "value", "name": "Spot"},
{"type": "value", "name": "LTV", "min": 0, "max": 1, "axisLabel": {"formatter": "{value}"}},
],
"series": [
{
"name": "Spot",
"type": "line",
"smooth": True,
"data": [round(point.spot_close, 2) for point in template_result.daily_path],
"lineStyle": {"color": "#0ea5e9"},
},
{
"name": "LTV hedged",
"type": "line",
"yAxisIndex": 1,
"smooth": True,
"data": [round(point.ltv_hedged, 4) for point in template_result.daily_path],
"lineStyle": {"color": "#22c55e"},
},
{
"name": "LTV unhedged",
"type": "line",
"yAxisIndex": 1,
"smooth": True,
"data": [round(point.ltv_unhedged, 4) for point in template_result.daily_path],
"lineStyle": {"color": "#ef4444"},
},
],
}
@ui.page("/backtests")
def backtests_page() -> None:
service = BacktestPageService()
template_options = service.template_options("GLD")
select_options = {str(option["slug"]): str(option["label"]) for option in template_options}
default_template_slug = str(template_options[0]["slug"]) if template_options else None
with dashboard_page(
"Backtests",
"Run a thin read-only historical scenario over the BT-001 synthetic engine and inspect the daily path.",
"backtests",
):
with ui.row().classes("w-full gap-6 max-lg:flex-col"):
with ui.card().classes(
"w-full max-w-xl rounded-2xl border border-slate-200 bg-white shadow-sm dark:border-slate-800 dark:bg-slate-900"
):
ui.label("Scenario Form").classes("text-lg font-semibold text-slate-900 dark:text-slate-100")
ui.label(
"Entry spot is auto-derived from the first historical close in the selected window so the scenario stays consistent with BT-001 entry timing."
).classes("text-sm text-slate-500 dark:text-slate-400")
ui.label("BT-001A currently supports GLD only for this thin read-only page.").classes(
"text-sm text-slate-500 dark:text-slate-400"
)
symbol_input = ui.input("Symbol", value="GLD").props("readonly").classes("w-full")
start_input = ui.input("Start date", value="2024-01-02").classes("w-full")
end_input = ui.input("End date", value="2024-01-08").classes("w-full")
template_select = ui.select(select_options, value=default_template_slug, label="Template").classes(
"w-full"
)
units_input = ui.number("Underlying units", value=1000.0, min=0.0001, step=1).classes("w-full")
loan_input = ui.number("Loan amount", value=68000.0, min=0, step=1000).classes("w-full")
ltv_input = ui.number("Margin call LTV", value=0.75, min=0.01, max=0.99, step=0.01).classes("w-full")
entry_spot_hint = ui.label("Entry spot will be auto-derived on run.").classes(
"text-sm text-slate-500 dark:text-slate-400"
)
validation_label = ui.label("").classes("text-sm text-rose-600 dark:text-rose-300")
run_button = ui.button("Run backtest").props("color=primary")
result_panel = ui.column().classes("w-full gap-6")
def parse_iso_date(raw: object, field_name: str) -> date:
try:
return datetime.strptime(str(raw), "%Y-%m-%d").date()
except ValueError as exc:
raise ValueError(f"{field_name} must be in YYYY-MM-DD format") from exc
def render_result(result: BacktestPageRunResult) -> None:
result_panel.clear()
template_result = result.run_result.template_results[0]
summary = template_result.summary_metrics
entry_spot_hint.set_text(f"Auto-derived entry spot: ${result.entry_spot:,.2f}")
with result_panel:
with ui.card().classes(
"w-full rounded-2xl border border-slate-200 bg-white shadow-sm dark:border-slate-800 dark:bg-slate-900"
):
ui.label("Scenario Summary").classes("text-lg font-semibold text-slate-900 dark:text-slate-100")
ui.label(f"Template: {template_result.template_name}").classes(
"text-sm text-slate-500 dark:text-slate-400"
)
with ui.grid(columns=4).classes("w-full gap-4 max-lg:grid-cols-2 max-sm:grid-cols-1"):
cards = [
("Start value", f"${summary.start_value:,.0f}"),
("End value hedged", f"${summary.end_value_hedged_net:,.0f}"),
("Max LTV hedged", f"{summary.max_ltv_hedged:.1%}"),
("Hedge cost", f"${summary.total_hedge_cost:,.0f}"),
("Margin call days hedged", str(summary.margin_call_days_hedged)),
("Margin call days unhedged", str(summary.margin_call_days_unhedged)),
(
"Hedged survived",
"Yes" if not summary.margin_threshold_breached_hedged else "No",
),
(
"Unhedged breached",
"Yes" if summary.margin_threshold_breached_unhedged else "No",
),
]
for label, value in cards:
with ui.card().classes(
"rounded-xl border border-slate-200 bg-slate-50 p-4 shadow-none dark:border-slate-800 dark:bg-slate-950"
):
ui.label(label).classes("text-sm text-slate-500 dark:text-slate-400")
ui.label(value).classes("text-2xl font-bold text-slate-900 dark:text-slate-100")
ui.echart(_chart_options(result)).classes(
"h-96 w-full rounded-2xl border border-slate-200 bg-white p-4 shadow-sm dark:border-slate-800 dark:bg-slate-900"
)
with ui.card().classes(
"w-full rounded-2xl border border-slate-200 bg-white shadow-sm dark:border-slate-800 dark:bg-slate-900"
):
ui.label("Daily Results").classes("text-lg font-semibold text-slate-900 dark:text-slate-100")
ui.table(
columns=[
{"name": "date", "label": "Date", "field": "date", "align": "left"},
{"name": "spot_close", "label": "Spot", "field": "spot_close", "align": "right"},
{"name": "net_portfolio_value", "label": "Net hedged", "field": "net_portfolio_value", "align": "right"},
{"name": "ltv_unhedged", "label": "LTV unhedged", "field": "ltv_unhedged", "align": "right"},
{"name": "ltv_hedged", "label": "LTV hedged", "field": "ltv_hedged", "align": "right"},
{"name": "margin_call_hedged", "label": "Hedged breach", "field": "margin_call_hedged", "align": "center"},
],
rows=[
{
"date": point.date.isoformat(),
"spot_close": f"${point.spot_close:,.2f}",
"net_portfolio_value": f"${point.net_portfolio_value:,.0f}",
"ltv_unhedged": f"{point.ltv_unhedged:.1%}",
"ltv_hedged": f"{point.ltv_hedged:.1%}",
"margin_call_hedged": "Yes" if point.margin_call_hedged else "No",
}
for point in template_result.daily_path
],
row_key="date",
).classes("w-full")
def run_backtest() -> None:
validation_label.set_text("")
try:
result = service.run_read_only_scenario(
symbol=str(symbol_input.value or ""),
start_date=parse_iso_date(start_input.value, "Start date"),
end_date=parse_iso_date(end_input.value, "End date"),
template_slug=str(template_select.value or ""),
underlying_units=float(units_input.value or 0.0),
loan_amount=float(loan_input.value or 0.0),
margin_call_ltv=float(ltv_input.value or 0.0),
)
except (ValueError, KeyError) as exc:
result_panel.clear()
validation_label.set_text(str(exc))
return
except Exception:
result_panel.clear()
validation_label.set_text("Backtest failed. Please verify the scenario inputs and try again.")
return
render_result(result)
run_button.on_click(lambda: run_backtest())
run_backtest()

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@@ -12,6 +12,7 @@ NAV_ITEMS: list[tuple[str, str, str]] = [
("overview", "/", "Overview"),
("hedge", "/hedge", "Hedge Analysis"),
("options", "/options", "Options Chain"),
("backtests", "/backtests", "Backtests"),
("settings", "/settings", "Settings"),
]

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@@ -0,0 +1,141 @@
from __future__ import annotations
from dataclasses import dataclass
from datetime import date
from app.models.backtest import (
BacktestPortfolioState,
BacktestRunResult,
BacktestScenario,
ProviderRef,
TemplateRef,
)
from app.services.backtesting.historical_provider import (
DailyClosePoint,
HistoricalPriceSource,
YFinanceHistoricalPriceSource,
)
from app.services.backtesting.service import BacktestService
from app.services.strategy_templates import StrategyTemplateService
SUPPORTED_BACKTEST_PAGE_SYMBOL = "GLD"
DETERMINISTIC_UI_FIXTURE_HISTORY: tuple[DailyClosePoint, ...] = (
DailyClosePoint(date=date(2024, 1, 2), close=100.0),
DailyClosePoint(date=date(2024, 1, 3), close=96.0),
DailyClosePoint(date=date(2024, 1, 4), close=92.0),
DailyClosePoint(date=date(2024, 1, 5), close=88.0),
DailyClosePoint(date=date(2024, 1, 8), close=85.0),
)
class FixtureFallbackHistoricalPriceSource:
def __init__(self, fallback: HistoricalPriceSource | None = None) -> None:
self.fallback = fallback or YFinanceHistoricalPriceSource()
def load_daily_closes(self, symbol: str, start_date: date, end_date: date) -> list[DailyClosePoint]:
normalized_symbol = symbol.strip().upper()
if (
normalized_symbol == SUPPORTED_BACKTEST_PAGE_SYMBOL
and start_date == date(2024, 1, 2)
and end_date == date(2024, 1, 8)
):
return list(DETERMINISTIC_UI_FIXTURE_HISTORY)
return self.fallback.load_daily_closes(normalized_symbol, start_date, end_date)
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class BacktestPageRunResult:
scenario: BacktestScenario
run_result: BacktestRunResult
entry_spot: float
class BacktestPageService:
def __init__(
self,
backtest_service: BacktestService | None = None,
template_service: StrategyTemplateService | None = None,
) -> None:
self.template_service = template_service or StrategyTemplateService()
self.backtest_service = backtest_service or BacktestService(
template_service=self.template_service,
provider=None,
)
if backtest_service is None:
provider = self.backtest_service.provider
provider.source = FixtureFallbackHistoricalPriceSource(provider.source)
def template_options(self, symbol: str = "GLD") -> list[dict[str, str | int]]:
return [
{
"label": template.display_name,
"slug": template.slug,
"version": template.version,
"description": template.description,
}
for template in self.template_service.list_active_templates(symbol)
]
def derive_entry_spot(self, symbol: str, start_date: date, end_date: date) -> float:
history = self.backtest_service.provider.load_history(symbol.strip().upper(), start_date, end_date)
if not history:
raise ValueError("No historical prices found for scenario window")
if history[0].date != start_date:
raise ValueError(
"Scenario start date must match the first available historical close for entry-at-start backtests"
)
return history[0].close
def run_read_only_scenario(
self,
*,
symbol: str,
start_date: date,
end_date: date,
template_slug: str,
underlying_units: float,
loan_amount: float,
margin_call_ltv: float,
) -> BacktestPageRunResult:
normalized_symbol = symbol.strip().upper()
if not normalized_symbol:
raise ValueError("Symbol is required")
if normalized_symbol != SUPPORTED_BACKTEST_PAGE_SYMBOL:
raise ValueError("BT-001A backtests are currently limited to GLD on this page")
if start_date > end_date:
raise ValueError("Start date must be on or before end date")
if underlying_units <= 0:
raise ValueError("Underlying units must be positive")
if loan_amount < 0:
raise ValueError("Loan amount must be non-negative")
if not 0 < margin_call_ltv < 1:
raise ValueError("Margin call LTV must be between 0 and 1")
if not template_slug:
raise ValueError("Template selection is required")
template = self.template_service.get_template(template_slug)
entry_spot = self.derive_entry_spot(normalized_symbol, start_date, end_date)
scenario = BacktestScenario(
scenario_id=(
f"{normalized_symbol.lower()}-{start_date.isoformat()}-{end_date.isoformat()}-{template.slug}"
),
display_name=f"{normalized_symbol} backtest {start_date.isoformat()}{end_date.isoformat()}",
symbol=normalized_symbol,
start_date=start_date,
end_date=end_date,
initial_portfolio=BacktestPortfolioState(
currency="USD",
underlying_units=underlying_units,
entry_spot=entry_spot,
loan_amount=loan_amount,
margin_call_ltv=margin_call_ltv,
),
template_refs=(TemplateRef(slug=template.slug, version=template.version),),
provider_ref=ProviderRef(provider_id="synthetic_v1", pricing_mode="synthetic_bs_mid"),
)
return BacktestPageRunResult(
scenario=scenario,
run_result=self.backtest_service.run_scenario(scenario),
entry_spot=entry_spot,
)